Eric Berman

Eric
Berman

Berman is WIBC-FM's political reporter.

Full Biography

Berman is WIBC-FM's political reporter.

Full Biography

December 16, 2016 11:13 AM

In Defense of the Electoral College

The Electoral College is like the old joke about the leaky roof: when it’s raining, you can’t go on the roof to fix it. But when it’s not raining, the roof doesn’t leak. In 30 of the last 32 presidential elections, the Electoral College hasn’t leaked. But, like Al Gore backers 16 years ago, some Hillary Clinton supporters have responded to her popular vote victory/electoral vote loss by proposing the abolition of the Electoral College.…

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May 20, 2016 3:19 PM

Dixieland Brand

Much of the history of postwar presidential politics has revolved around the South’s attempts to get presidential nominees of its liking. 2016 is the region’s greatest and most overlooked success. The frontloaded primary calendar is a pattern begun by South Carolina Republicans and continued by Southern Democrats, in an effort to gain more influence over the process. In 1988, nine southern states voted together on the first truly super-sized Super Tuesday, with Democrats aiming to…

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May 9, 2016 10:12 PM

Switcheroo

What if Republicans were Democrats and Democrats were Republicans? This year’s wild election has been a crash course in how the byzantine ways the states select convention delegates affect the nomination process. How does Donald Trump lock up the Republican nomination without achieving a majority in any state until mid-April? How does Bernie Sanders win state after state, yet keep falling further behind in his quest for the nomination? Look no further than the delegate…

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May 5, 2016 11:25 AM

Postmortem

Three weeks ago, I asserted in this space that the presidential race had shifted against Donald Trump, and the math was pointing toward a contested convention. So that went well. I should have listened to what I wrote at the start of the campaign, when I expected a single non-Trump alternative to emerge – but cautioned that if Trump could raise his support by even a few points “to 38 or 39%,” the math would…

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April 18, 2016 7:01 PM

Back to the ’80s

Democrats are replaying 1980. Republicans are replaying 1880. 1980 saw President Jimmy Carter seeking reelection against a primary challenge from the Senate’s leading liberal voice, Ted Kennedy. Carter swept the early primaries and built an insurmountable delegate lead. But Kennedy stayed in the race, to the irritation of the Carter camp, and, beginning in late March, went on a streak, beating Carter in five out of eight contests. Even though the nomination remained out of…

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April 12, 2016 4:20 PM

Passing Peak Trump

Wisconsin’s primary didn’t change the trajectory of the Republican presidential race. It confirmed it. Donald Trump remains the one candidate with a realistic possibility of clinching the nomination on the first ballot. But that possibility is less likely than the coverage of the race makes it appear: — Not only has Trump not won a majority in any state, he’s failed to clear 40% in all but 10 states. He’s racked up wins because of…

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March 28, 2016 3:30 PM

Not So Fast

Old joke: two hunters find themselves face-to-face with a bear. One hunter takes off running. The second hunter says, “What are you doing? You can’t outrun that bear.” “I don’t have to outrun the bear. I just have to outrun you.” Ted Cruz and John Kasich have no chance of clinching the presidential nomination on the first ballot. That’s prompted a string of articles proclaiming Donald Trump is “unstoppable” (Salon, Rolling Stone) or “has a…

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February 23, 2016 6:26 PM 1 Comment

Curb Your Antienthusiasm

I posted in this space a few months ago my argument for why Donald Trump is unlikely to be the Republican presidential nominee, outlining two possible routes the primary process might take. One of those scenarios is playing out exactly as predicted – yet there is a wave of handwringing predicting/warning that Trump is on the verge of locking up the nomination. A Washington Post headline went so far as to proclaim Trump has a…

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February 4, 2016 2:50 PM 2 Comments

The LGBT Bill No One Is Talking About

Republicans aren’t touting it. Freedom Indiana didn’t testify on it. No one at the statehouse has vocally opposed it. But on the same day the Senate killed an LGBT civil rights bill, it also quietly sent the House a bill that would move Indiana from one end of the spectrum on an LGBT issue all the way to the other. African-American legislators have sought a hate crimes law in Indiana for 18 years, either as…

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December 24, 2015 1:28 PM

The Miss Universe Effect

Quick quiz: what do these Indiana politicians have in common? Katie Hall Brendan Mullen Brandt Hershman David McIntosh Travis Hankins Woody Myers Kristi Risk Marlin Stutzman Jackie Walorski Pretty eclectic list: four current or former members of Congress, a prominent state senator, and a former state health commissioner. The least familiar names, presumably, are those of Mullen, Hankins and Risk, but true political junkies will recognize them as unsuccessful congressional candidates. In fact, everyone on…

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