Cecil Bohanon

Cecil
Bohanon

Bohanon is a Ball State University economist.

Full Biography

Bohanon is a Ball State University economist.

Full Biography

November 1, 2016 4:33 PM

It is Still Clinton’s Race to Lose

Four days since the FBI revelation Clinton is still harmed by its fallout—but the bleeding seems to have stopped PredicitIt.com is calling the Electoral College at Clinton 293 Trump 245. This is the closest the race has been. Trump is now ahead in Ohio 61 (56), Arizona 71 (62), Iowa 70 (68), Maine-2-61 (59), Nebraska-2 64 (75), Utah 73 (70) and now Florida 58. Note the number associated with the state are the betting odds…

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October 30, 2016 4:02 PM

Comey Revelation Helps Trump

If you are a Democratic  partisan the good news is despite Mr. Comey’s statement that Ms. Clinton may be subject to further FBI investigation, PredicitIt.com is still calling the Electoral College at Clinton 322 Trump 216. However the bad news is that in almost every state and district the  odds are moving in Trump’s favor. For example, Trump was on Oct 27th and is now ahead in Ohio 61 (56), Arizona 62(52), Iowa 68 (60), Maine-2-59 (51),…

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October 27, 2016 1:26 PM

Electoral Odds: Slight tilts toward Trump

The Electoral count according to betting site PredicitIt.com is now turning slightly towards Trump, with Clinton 322 Trump 216. Trump now is now ahead in Ohio 56, Arizona 52, Iowa 60, Maine-2-51, Nebraska-2 56, Utah 65. Note the number associated with the state are the betting odds of the candidate winning. Arizona, for example is now given a 52% chance of going for Trump. There is, as of now, someone at the other end of…

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October 23, 2016 3:04 PM

Trump’s Electoral Position Improves Slightly but Still Getting Trounced on Betting Site

This post gives the electoral count based on the bets being placed at Predictit.com which provides a state-by-state and Maine and Nebraska district betting line on Electoral votes. As has been the case since Oct 9th the predicted Electoral Count stands at 359 Clinton, 179 Trump. Clinton is getting most all the swing states including Iowa, Ohio as well as the Maine and Nebraska districts all which Real Clear Politics (RCP) has going to Trump.…

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October 10, 2016 4:36 PM

Debates Give Small Boost to Trump but Hardly Perceptable

The Sunday after the second Presidential debate the sea change in the electoral odds in favor of Clinton, from the Trump video release remains in place. As it was before the debate the Electoral Count now stands at 359 Clinton, 179 Trump, with Iowa, Maine-2, Nebraska-2 and Arizona now in the Democrats column. A sliver of hope for the GOP: Arizona is only at 52 cents for the Dems. If only those States where the…

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October 9, 2016 4:40 PM

PredictIt Shows GOP Electoral Collapse in Wake of Trump tapes

The Sunday before the second Presidential debate there has been a sea change in the electoral odds in favor of Clinton on betting website PredicitIt, no doubt a by-product of the Trump video release. The Electoral Count now stands at 359 Clinton, 179 Trump, with Iowa, Maine-2, Nebraska-2 and Arizona now in the Democrats column. If only those States where the odds are 70 cents or more are counted as sure things, the count is…

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October 5, 2016 3:19 PM

Odds Moved little after VP debate

The Tuesday after the first and only VP debate there is little change in gamblers opinions at PredicitIt. The Electoral Count 340 Clinton, 198 Trump, unchanged from Friday. If only those States where the odds are 70 cents or more are counted as sure things, the count is now 272 Clinton, 190 Trump, 86 Undecided; a gain for Trump as Arizona goes to Trump from being undecided. If only those States where the odds are 90…

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September 30, 2016 5:49 PM

Friday Update on Election Odds

The Friday after the first debate gamblers at PredicitIt have continued the trend toward prognosticating a Clinton win. Ohio moves into the Clinton column making the Electoral Count 340 Clinton, 198 Trump, an 18 vote gain for Clinton compared to Tuesday morning. If only those States where the odds are 70 cents or more are counted as sure things, the count is now 272 Clinton, 180 Trump, 86 Undecided; a 1 vote gain for Clinton.…

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September 27, 2016 12:02 PM

Update from PredictIt – Post Debate Tilts toward Clinton

The morning after the first debate betters on PredicitIt have ever so slightly titled towards Clinton. North Carolina moved since Sunday into the Clinton column making the Electoral Count 322 Clinton, 216 Trump; a 15 vote gain for Clinton. If only those States where the odds are 70 cents or better are counted as sure things, the count is now 271 Clinton, 191 Trump, 75 Undecided; a 9 vote gain for Clinton. If only those…

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September 25, 2016 11:18 PM

A Regular Update on the Presidential Crystal Ball

I haven’t been blogging lately but am back to provide a public service before the election. My candidate is Gary Johnson and I still hold out hope that he can pull out a miracle. But that aside my public service is to provide a clear-eyed guess of what the election outcome will be. Website Real Clear Politics gives an Electoral College projection updated as the polls change. It gives one with no-toss-ups and another one…

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